The Sunk Cost Fallacy and Endowment Effect in Nonprofits
The sunk cost fallacy is present when organizations invest resources in a failing endeavor simply because they have already incurred costs (1,2). The organization may attempt to justify past expenditures rather than make rational decisions based on future benefits.
Nonprofits can engage in this fallacy when they persist with programs ineffective programs simply because they have already invested heavily in them. For example, a nonprofit may continue a financial literacy workshop that has shown no improvement in community economics simply because they spent years developing the curriculum.
The endowment effect is present when an organization overvalues something simply because it possess the object (3,4). This is closely related to the sunk cost fallacy. The endowment effect differs from the sunk cost fallacy in that it is the “owning” of the object, rather than the developmental expenditure, that creates the endowment effect. There may have been no costs to obtaining the object. In essence, people and organizations so dislike giving up something they own that they may place a higher than reasonable value on the item.
Nonprofits can engage in this bias when they hold onto outdated programs, branding, or strategies because they feel a strong attachment. For example, a nonprofit might decline a partnership with another organization because they fear changes to their established programming. This could occur despite the partnership being beneficial to both organizations and the community.
These emotional attachments can prevent organizations from decisions that would best serve their stakeholders. To avoid these biases:
1. Nonprofits should directly assess at planning meetings whether these biases may be operating.
2. Nonprofits should adopt a forward-looking, evidence-based approach to decision-making through regularly scheduled evaluations of program impact.
3. Nonprofits should celebrate strategic shifts that align with their mission rather than mourn “failed” investments.
References:
1. Arkes H. & Blumer C. The psychology of sunk cost. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1985; 35:124-140.
2. Thaler R. Mental accounting matters. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1999; 12:183-206.
3. Thaler R. (1980). Toward a positive theory of consumer choice. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 1980; 1:39-60.
4. Kahneman D. Knetsch J. & Thaler R. (1990). Experimental tests of the endowment effect and the Coase theorem. Journal of Political Economy, 1990; 98:1325-1348.
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